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UFC 102: MMA4Real Staff Predictions

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Randy Couture Vs. Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira

Name: Randy Couture
Height: 6' 2" (188 cm)
Weight: 220 (100 kg)
Record: 16-9-0
Randy Couture
"The Natural"

Name: Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira
Height: 6' 3" (191 cm)
Weight: 240 (109 kg)
Record: 31-5-1
Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira

Charles Walker-Something tells me Randy's going to win this.  Even though I'm pretty sure the lazy looking tired Big Nog we saw in December won't show up Saturday, I don't think he has enough in the gas tank to best Couture.  That's really crazy seeing as how Couture's closing in on 50!!!  Couture via decision.

Rich Wyatt-I'm in the minority that think that "Minotauro" is going to find a way to win on Saturday night. He looked terrible in his last fight, but I just think that somehow, some way, he's pulling this one out over his 46 year old opponent. We shall see. Nogueira over Couture by decision.

Kelvin Hunt-I see Couture winning a decision.  I think he'll take it to the ground if Nog is outboxing him, and I think he's savvy enough on the ground to avoid getting submitted.

Matt Bishop-Oh boy. The prospect of this fight just 18 months ago had me shaking in my boots. I love both of these guys and hate seeing the road their careers are going down, especially Nogueira, who could be MMA's first sad story if he keeps taking beatings. If Nogueira goes down in bad fashion again here, he needs to retire, plain and simple. I think Couture still has a lot in the tank, but he'd get overpowered by the new breed of UFC heavyweights. This is going to be a good baseline fight for these two to see where their careers stand. Five years ago, Nogueira probably wins this fight easy. These days, it's probably not going to happen. If Nogueira's chin is really as shot as the Mir fight suggests it was, then Couture possesses the skills to finish the job. If not, he can stay out of Nogueira's submissions and work his game and pick up a decision win. Nogueira cannot look bad here. If he does, his career has to be over and Dana White cannot give him another
fight, nor should any other promoter.

Keith Jardine Vs. Thiago Silva

Name: Keith Jardine
Height: 6' 2" (188 cm)
Weight: 205 (93 kg)
Record: 14-6-1
Keith Jardine
"The Dean of Mean"

Name: Thiago Silva
Height: 6' 1" (185 cm)
Weight: 205 (93 kg)
Record: 13-1-0
Thiago Silva

Charles Walker-Silva is a beast but I just think Jardine's been in there with better opponents and unless he totally just goes full brawl style and gets clipped, he's the more unique fighter and has the stamina to go a few rounds unlike Silva.  I think the first few minutes will be very telling though but I still see Jardine taking him out via TKO in early round 2.


Rich Wyatt-I see Jardine working his kicks effectively and wearing down Silva over the three rounds. Jardine by decision

Kelvin Hunt-i think Jardine is going to work Silva over.  Silva has shown that he can get rocked pretty easily and Jardine packs a punch and some devastating kicks.  I'm say Jardine via TKO in the 2nd.

Matt Bishop-Here you have two fighters who lost their last fight. This will come down to one thing: Can Jardine survive Silva's early onslaught? We've seen Jardine get blitzed on several occasions and Silva can certainly blitz. But Silva hasn't exhibited the would's best chin, either, so if Jardine can survive early, he can put some pressure on Silva standing, using his leg kicks and awkward strikes to do some damage. But if this one doesn't end early, it's probably going to decision. Jardine by decision.

Chris Leben Vs. Jake Rosholt

Name: Chris Leben
Height: 5' 11" (180 cm)
Weight: 185 (84 kg)
Record: 18-5-0
Chris Leben
"The Crippler"

Name: Jake Rosholt
Height: 6' 1" (185 cm)
Weight: 185 (84 kg)
Record: 5-1-0
Jake Rosholt

Charles Walker-Rosholt should win, but for some reason I think he'll take a big shot from Leben and go down in a heap, if not, prepare for 3 very boring rounds of wrestling.

Rich Wyatt-Rosholt over Leben by decision

Kelvin Hunt-If Rosholt stands and bangs..he'll get KTFO.  However, I think he'll use his wrestling to put Leben down and win a decision.  Leben can't stop a take down for nothing.

Matt Bishop-If Rosholt shows the type of striking defense he did against Nissen Osterneck, he is going to be in for a long, hard night. If Rosholt can get Leben to the ground, he can certainly grind out a decision win. However, I cannot state how bad his striking defense was against Osterneck. If that hasn't come around, he's going down and he's going down hard. And probably in the first round.

Nate Marquardt Vs. Demian Maia

Name: Nate Marquardt
Height: 6' 0" (183 cm)
Weight: 185 (84 kg)
Record: 31-8-2
Nate Marquardt
"The Great"

Name: Demian Maia
Height: 6' 0" (183 cm)
Weight: 185 (84 kg)
Record: 11-0-0
Demian Maia

Charles Walker-The real main event of the show, I'm really excited about this one.  I think, however, people are overlooking just how good Nate Marquardt is...I mean other than the Anderson Silva fight, he's basically been in very little danger in his time in UFC (even in the Leites fight, though he got dropped briefly).  Maia struggled a bit with Jason MacDonald but has pretty much been too much for all of his opponents.  I just don't think Marquardt is dumb enough to fall into any of Maia's traps and has a good enough offense to keep Maia off balance en route to a unanimous decision.


Rich Wyatt-Maia over Marquardt by Submission in the 3rd.

Kelvin Hunt-Call me crazy...but I don't see Maia winning this one.  I think Nate is too well rounded and too strong for Maia.  I think Marquardt takes a easy decision win.

Matt Bishop-While Jardine/Silva is the co-main event in terms of promotion, the real co-main event in this fight. This is very interesting. Marquardt has been an interesting case since losing to Anderson Silva. He's completely reinvented his game, becoming a much more aggressive fighter, which has led to impressive results. However, Maia is the type of fighter who can capitalize on a small mistake because his jiu-jitsu is so far ahead of everyone else. Marquardt needs to be paitent while Maia needs to get this fight to the ground. The ground game is Maia's bread and butter and if he, like Rosholt, decides to stand, it's going to be to his disadvantage. This will be a great, dynamic fight that I see Maia winning by decision.

Brandon Vera Vs. Krzysztof Soszynski

Name: Brandon Vera
Height: 6' 2" (188 cm)
Weight: 205 (93 kg)
Record: 10-3-0
Brandon Vera
"The Truth"

Name: Krzysztof Soszynski
Height: 6' 1" (185 cm)
Weight: 205 (93 kg)
Record: 19-9-1
Krzysztof Soszynski
"The Polish Experiment"

Charles Walker-A lot of folks are down on Vera but I'm still a big fan.  I think now that he's use to the weight cut he's very dangerous as a LHW.  His long limbs and varied attack I think is enough to outpoint and probably even eventually drop 'The Polish Experiment', maybe late round 2 or midway through 3.

Rich Wyatt-Vera over Soszynski by TKO in the 2nd.

Kelvin Hunt-I think Vera's a little too much for Soszynski, and he'll win a decision.

Matt Bishop-This is an interesting fight. Vera should hold the advantage, but Soszynski is just a scrappy guy who has found a way to get the job done in the UFC. I'm really not sure how this fight is going to go down, but it should be an exciting tilt. Soszynski by decision.

Ed Herman Vs. Aaron Simpson

Name: Ed Herman
Height: 6' 2" (188 cm)
Weight: 185 (84 kg)
Record: 17-6-0
Ed Herman
"Short Fuse"

Name: Aaron Simpson
Height: 6' 0" (183 cm)
Weight: 185 (84 kg)
Record: 5-0-0
Aaron Simpson

Charles Walker-Hmmmmmm, Herman's tough and he's at his hometown so I'll give him the W...probably via decision

Rich Wyatt-Simpson over Herman by decision.

Kelvin Hunt-Tough fight to call...Herman has experience and youth on his side, but the A-Train poses some interesting problems.  I'm go with Herman via split decision.

Matt Bishop-Simpson is a hard puncher and great wrestler, having stopped all five of his opponents with strikes. Herman has never been finished by strikes, so it'll be interesting to see what transpires here. Simpson's age is a concern in his "prospect" status and Herman has a ton of experience. But I think Simpson is able to sprawl-and-brawl in this one en route to a decision win.


Gabriel Gonzaga Vs. Chris Tuchscherer

Name: Gabriel Gonzaga
Height: 6' 1" (185 cm)
Weight: 242 (110 kg)
Record: 10-4-0
Gabriel Gonzaga

Name: Chris Tuchscherer
Height: 6' 1" (185 cm)
Weight: 260 (118 kg)
Record: 17-1-0
Chris Tuchscherer
"The Crowbar"

Charles Walker-If Gonzaga actually shows up and goes all out, he'll win.  If he gets passive, he'll via submission round 1.

Rich Wyatt-Tucscherer over Gonzaga by decision.

Kelvin Hunt-Gonzaga should walk through Tuchscherer, but he'll probably make it interesting.  I'm go with Gonzaga via Submission.

Matt Bishop-This is an interesting fight as YAMMA finalist Chris Tuchscherer makes his UFC debut against former title contender Gabriel Gonzaga. Despite holding a 17-1 record, Tuchscherer will be making a giant leap in competition here in Gonzaga. Throughout his career, Gonzaga has had little trouble taking care of lesser competition. While his toughness is certainly suspect, Gonzaga possess great skills on both the feet and the floor. If Tuchscherer can get off to a fast start, he has a good chance of winning the fight. However, Gonzaga is a solid heavyweight and without the pressure of a big pay-per-view fight, he should be able to take care of Tuchscherer by submission in the first round.


Justin McCully Vs. Mike Russow

Name: Justin McCully
Height: 6' 2" (188 cm)
Weight: 240 (109 kg)
Record: 9-4-2
Justin McCully
"The Nsane1"

Name: Mike Russow
Height: 6' 1" (185 cm)
Weight: 255 (116 kg)
Record: 11-1-0
Mike Russow

Charles Walker-I got Mike Russow winning, not sure, but I think he'll be too much for McCully.

Rich Wyatt-Russow over McCully by decision

Kelvin Hunt-Russow via TKO

Matt Bishop-Russow has been an underrated fighter and it's good to see him get a shot in the UFC. Russow is a good wrestler with a solid submission game. McCully is much of the same, but less skilled. Russow by second round submission.


Tim Hague Vs. Todd Duffee

Name: Tim Hague
Height: 6' 4" (193 cm)
Weight: 265 (120 kg)
Record: 10-1-0
Tim Hague
"The Thrashing Machine"

Name: Todd Duffee
Height: 6' 3" (191 cm)
Weight: 260 (118 kg)
Record: 5-0-0
Todd Duffee
Charles Walker-Even though Hague dropped Pat Berry, he'll lose to

Rich Wyatt-Duffee over Hague by TKO in the 2nd

Kelvin Hunt-Duffee via TKO Rd. 2

Matt Bishop-Duffee via TKO, round two.


Nick Catone Vs. Mark Munoz

Name: Nick Catone
Height: 6' 0" (183 cm)
Weight: 185 (84 kg)
Record: 7-1-0
Nick Catone

Name: Mark Munoz
Height: 6' 0" (183 cm)
Weight: 205 (93 kg)
Record: 5-1-0
Mark Munoz
"The Filipino Wrecking Machine"

Charles Walker-Munoz gets a decision win

Rich Wyatt-Catone over Munoz by TKO in the 2nd.

Kelvin Hunt- Munoz will probably be a little gun shy after getting decapitated against Matt Hamill.  So I'm go with him via his wrestling and decision win.

Matt Bishop-It will be interesting to see how Munoz responds to coming off a devastating knockout loss and the subsequent drop to middleweight. I think Munoz will be able to rebound and force a referee stoppage in the second round.


Marcus Aurelio Vs. Evan Dunham

Name: Marcus Aurelio
Height: 5' 10" (178 cm)
Weight: 155 (70 kg)
Record: 18-7-0
Marcus Aurelio

Name: Evan Dunham
Height: 5' 10" (178 cm)
Weight: 155 (70 kg)
Record: 8-0-0
Evan Dunham

Charles Walker-Aurelio gets redemption and a submission win in round 1

Rich Wyatt-Dunham over Aurelio by decision

Kelvin Hunt-I'm go with Dunham via decision

Matt Bishop-Aurelio possesses superior ground skills and should have no problem finishing Dunham with an armbar in the first round