The UFC machine just keeps moving right along at a brisk pace it seems. Right off the heels of UFC 88 we have the next UFC event which is Ultimate Fight Night: "Diaz vs. Neer" which will also serve as the lead in show for the premiere of The Ultimate Fighter Season 8. Below is my breakdown of the televised portion of the card:
Nate Diaz Vs. Josh Neer- Josh Neer is a veteran of the sport who has quietly won three fights in a row, with his last win coming against Din Thomas back in April. Diaz is coming off a come from behind submission win against Kurt Pellegrino also in April. Diaz has had a tendency to rely solely on his BJJ to win his fights thus far in the UFC. He has shown very little boxing or wrestling skills and he'll need all of these tools at then some against a veteran like Neer. In fact, if Diaz continues to rely solely on catching opponents in submissions from his back...he's going to get smashed sooner or later. It just might be sooner against someone as well rounded as Neer. Neer via TKO
Clay Guida Vs. Mac Danzig-Guida is coming off a win against little known Sammy Schiavo in April with Danzig coming off a submission win against Mark Bocek at UFC 83. Both guys are pretty well rounded, but the majority of Danzig's wins have come via submission. In this fight I see Guida being his usual energizer bunny self but slipping up at some point....giving up his back....with Danzig winning via his bread n butter RNC.
Ed Herman Vs. Alan Belcher-Herman is coming off a submission loss against Demian Maia with Belcher coming off a loss to Jason Day...Herman can win this fight if he takes Belcher down and controls him with a little ground and pound. Herman doesn't want to stand with Belcher and Herman has been susceptible to being subbed so I doubt he'll be taking many chances during this fight. Herman via decision.
Houston Alexander Vs. Eric Schafer-Alexander is coming off back to back losses against Thiago Silva and James Irvin with Schafer is coming off a win that took place outside of the UFC. Classic brawler/striker vs. grappler match up here. If this fight goes to the ground and Schafer keeps it there...he'll win via sub. If he can't get it to the ground he will get KTFO. Alexander just signed a new 5 fight contract, and I think that will give him a little extra motivation to make a statement going into this fight. I'm go with Alexander via TKO.
Undercard (may not be televised):
Alessio Sakara Vs. Joe Vedepo
Wilson Gouveia Vs. Ryan Jensen
Joe Lauzon Vs. Kyle Bradley
Jason Brilz Vs. Brad Morris
Drew McFedries Vs. Mike Massenzio
Dan Miller Vs. Rob Kimmons
That rounds out the preliminary portion of the card...I don't really have time to do breakdowns of those fights. However, I do hope I get to see the Mcfedries/Massenzio fight....as well as the Lauzon fight. Feel free to drop your picks in the comments session...maybe you'll do a little better than you did last time ;)
Also, don't forget to support the sport and tune in to watch the premiere of season 8 of The Ultimate Fighter immediately after the Ultimate Fight Night event.